February 29, 2012

Start Time Thursday---8:00am

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/29/2012 Weather

General Discussion: Spotty snow showers with cold temperatures will continue today and tomorrow. It looks like another fantastic day for sliding through the snow.

Long-term: A warm front will bring rising freezing levels and more precipitation to the Pass on Friday and Saturday. There might be a chance of some rain on Saturday.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Wednesday

Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= .25
“of additional water by 4am= .10
“of additional water by 12pm= .10

24hr total “of water = .25 - .5

24hr Snow Total= 3-5

Trend and Timing:
Snow showers will continue through the night. The Puget Sound Convergence Zone could enhance the snow showers and bump up the totals a bit this evening. Snow should taper to light showers after midnight with tomorrow being relatively dry.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 20 High: 24
Freezing level: 2500’ 500’

Trend and Timing:
Cool NW flow will keep freezing temperatures well below pass level through early Friday morning. Warmer air is on the way for Friday/Saturday.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
5-15 W gusty

Trend and Timing:
Winds will shift westerly today and then northwesterly tomorrow. Some gusty ridge top winds (20mph) will be possible this afternoon and evening.

February 28, 2012

Start Time Wednesday---8:00am

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/28/2012 Weather

General Discussion: This morning’s radar shows the leading edge of the next front just hitting the Washington coast. The front is expected to lose some energy as it makes its way inland, so snow totals have been downgraded from earlier forecasts.

Long-term: Intermittent snow showers will continue for most of the week. Convergence conditions developing tomorrow night may bring periods of heavy snow from time to time on Thursday. The trickle in effect may produce a surprising amount of snow accumulation by Friday. Sounds like another great week of sliding.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Tuesday

Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= <.25
“of additional water by 4am= .10
“of additional water by 12pm= .10

24hr total “of water = .25 - .5

24hr Snow Total= 3-5

Trend and Timing:
Snow is expected to start this afternoon and continue through early Thursday morning. It appears that this storm will break apart as it moves inland – therefore expect intermittent snow showers rather than steady snow through the night.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 16 High: 24
Freezing level: 1000’ 2500’

Trend and Timing:
Freezing level will remain well below pass level for the remainder of the week. Cool eastern air influence will also contribute to keeping surface temperatures low.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
10-20 E

Trend and Timing:
East flow will strengthen this evening as the front approaches the mountains. Sporadic wind shifts from SW to E will be possible as the front moves through.

February 27, 2012

8:00am Start time for Feb. 28th, 2012

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/27/2012 Weather
General Discussion: Brrrr - 7degrees this morning. Cold air will continue to settle over the PNW under building pressure. The sunshine should help warm things up later today. Clouds will move in tomorrow as the next system approaches the coast.

Long-term: A low pressure system developing in the Gulf of Alaska will push another round of snow through the PNW starting tomorrow night. A cool and wet weather pattern is expected to continue with the arrival of the new month.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Monday
Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= 0
“of additional water by 4am= 0
“of additional water by 12pm=<.10

24hr total “of water = <.10
24hr Snow Total= trace

Trend and Timing:
Dry conditions will prevail through noon tomorrow with snow developing in the afternoon.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 10 High: 24
Freezing level: 500’ 2000’

Trend and Timing:
Temperatures will remain unseasonably low through the night. Freezing levels will rise tomorrow afternoon to near 3000’.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
0-5 NE

Trend and Timing:
Easterly flow will strengthen tomorrow afternoon as the next system approaches.

February 23, 2012

8:00am Start Time for Friday Feb. 24th, 2012

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/23/2012 Weather

General Discussion: Great skiing today. It will be a relatively quiet day with more moderate to heavy snow expected tomorrow afternoon.

Long-term: Moderate to heavy snow is expected to continue into Saturday with snow showers lingering into Sunday. Monday looks to be a dry interim day with another storm expected on Tuesday/Wednesday.

Note: I will be off until early next week and will not be writing forecast through that period. See: http://www.nwac.us/forecast/weather/current/
or http://www.atmos.washington.edu/data/disc_report.html


24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Thursday

Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= .10
“of additional water by 4am=.10
“of additional water by 12pm= .10

24hr total “of water = +.25

24hr Snow Total= 2-4

Trend and Timing:
Light snow showers will continue for the next 24hrs. The leading edge of the next front is expected to hit the mountains sometime tomorrow afternoon or evening.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 24 High: 34
Freezing level: 2000’ 4000’

Trend and Timing:
Freezing levels will spike up to near 4000’ by noon or so tomorrow. Freezing levels will then fall back below pass level just after the sun goes down.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
0-5 W shifting E

Trend and Timing:
Light westerly flow will shift easterly tomorrow. Strong westerly flow is expected on Saturday.

February 21, 2012

Start Time

6:15

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/21/2012 Weather

General Discussion: Our big storm has slowed its approach just a bit, hence the snow continuing. Heavy rain is still expected below 5000’ this afternoon along with high winds. Heavy snow will return overnight and is expected to fall through most of the day tomorrow.

Long-term: Storm totals by noon Thursday are impressive with up to 5” or more of water possible. There will be a short break late Thursday/early Friday morning with another storm making its way toward the PNW on Friday.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Tuesday

Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= 1
“of additional water by 4am= .5
“of additional water by 12pm= .5
24hr total “of water = 2

24hr Snow Total= 12-24

Trend and Timing:
Snow is expected to turn to rain below 5000’ this afternoon and then slowly turn back to snow over night. Snow is expected to begin to taper off early Thursday morning.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 24 High: 38
Freezing level: 5500’ 3000’

Trend and Timing:
Freezing levels will continue to climb to 5500’ by this evening. Temperatures will then begin to fall through the night. Freezing levels are expected to be around 3000’ by noon tomorrow and 2000’ by tomorrow night.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
10-20 WSW +50mph gust possible

Trend and Timing:
Strong westerly flow will continue through the night. Winds will shift NW tomorrow afternoon.

Start Time Wednesday---6:15am

February 20, 2012

Start Time Tuesday---8:00am

Big Storm about to hit.

The culprit: The long plum of moisture well north of Hawaii, powered by the triple fronts. This is all expected to sag south tomorrow and take aim at the PNW

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

”We must embrace pain and burn it as fuel for our journey”. Kenji Miyazawa


General Discussion: A vigorous warm front will bring moderate to heavy precipitation to the mountains tonight and tomorrow. Rain in the base area with snow mix on the upper mountain is expected tomorrow. It seems that Mother Nature has anger in her heart as well.

Long-term: Strong westerly flow will continue to bring active weather to the mountains through most of the week.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Monday

Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= .25
“of additional water by 4am= .25
“of additional water by 12pm= .75

24hr total “of water = 1.25

24hr Snow Total= 4-6 base 6-10 upper ridge

Trend and Timing:
Light snow will continue today with a strong warm front arriving late tonight. Expect heavy rain in the base area tomorrow with mixed rain and snow on the upper mountain through most of the day.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 24 High: 38
Freezing level: 3000’ 5500’

Trend and Timing:
Freezing levels will reach 4000’ sometime this evening. Temperatures will continue to rise through the night with freezing levels topping out between 5k and 6k for most of tomorrow.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
10-20 W

Trend and Timing:
The wind will be a contender, as strong westerly flow accompanies this storm. Models show 40-60mph gust possible tomorrow.

February 18, 2012

6:15am Start Time for Sunday, Feb. 19th, 2012

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/18/2012 Weather

General Discussion: An unstable atmosphere will keep the snow falling in the mountains through the day. Snow will turn to light showers overnight.

Long-term: This active weather pattern is expected to continue through next week with several storms taking aimed at the PNW.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Saturday

Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= .5+
“of additional water by 4am= .10
“of additional water by 12pm= <.10
24hr total “of water = .75

24hr Snow Total= 8-12”

Trend and Timing:
Snow will continue today and then turn to showers after midnight. Light snow showers will linger over the crest tomorrow.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 16 High: 28
Freezing level: 2500’ 1000’

Trend and Timing:
Cool NW flow will bring low freezing levels to the region tomorrow. A warming trend is expected on Monday with freezing levels rising to near Pass level.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
5-15 WNW

Trend and Timing:
A windy period with gust near 40mph is possible this evening as the winds shift NW. Winds will continue through the night and then begin weaken during the day tomorrow.

February 17, 2012

6:15am Start Time for Sat. 18th, 2012

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/17/2012 Weather

General Discussion: A nice looking winter storm is brewing just off the Washington coast today. Moderate to heavy snow is expected to hit the Cascades this afternoon.

Long-term: Snow will continue through tomorrow night. Remnant snow showers will hang around on Sunday with another system developing for Monday.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Friday

Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= .5
“of additional water by 4am=.25
“of additional water by 12pm=.25+

24hr total “of water = 1

24hr Snow Total= 8-12

Trend and Timing:
Snow will ramp up this afternoon. The snow is expected to continue through the night and most of tomorrow.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 24 High: 30
Freezing level: 4000’ 2000’

Trend and Timing:
Freezing levels will fall through the night with continued cooling through the weekend.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
5-15 WSW gusty

Trend and Timing:
Westerly flow will overtake the easterlies sometime tonight. Gusty SW winds will continue through most of tomorrow. Winds are expected to shift to NW and strengthen tomorrow night. So be watchful for a stronger wind event tomorrow night.

Tripple Point

Our friend the tripple point is just off the coast.

February 16, 2012

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/16/2012 Weather

General Discussion: A weakening frontal system will move east of the mountains today. There will be a brief dry period tonight with the next system arriving tomorrow afternoon.

Long-term: A low pressure system forming off of the PNW coast will produce a snowy weekend. As of now, snow totals calculate out to be around +- 6” Friday night with another + 6-10” for Saturday/Sunday.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Thursday

Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= <.25
“of additional water by 4am= <.10
24hr total “of water = .25

24hr Snow Total= 1-3

Trend and Timing:
Snow showers will slowly taper off this afternoon. Tonight will be dry with the snow returning tomorrow afternoon.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 26 High: 30
Freezing level: 3000’ 4000’

Trend and Timing:
Freezing levels will creep up to 4000’ over night. East flow will help keep snow levels below pass level through the weekend.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
5-10 W

Trend and Timing:
Winds will shift from W to E and back again as these fronts move through. No significant winds events seem to be associated with these storms at this time.

8:00am Start Time for Friday, Fe., 17th,2012

February 15, 2012

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/15/2012 Weather

General Discussion: Hopefully this fog will burn off for some sunshine this afternoon. Clouds will thicken tomorrow morning as a weak front moves through the PNW.

Long-term: A nice looking storm is shaping up to arrive Friday night. The Pass should receive some new snow for the weekend. - More details on that development tomorrow.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Wednesday

Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= 0
“of additional water by 4am=0
24hr total “of water = .10

24hr Snow Total= 1-2”

Trend and Timing:
Dry conditions will continue through the early morning hours. Light snow will develop mid morning tomorrow.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 24 High: 30
Freezing level: 2000’ 4000’

Trend and Timing:
Freezing level will inch toward pass level overnight. Snow levels should stay below pass level.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
5-10 SW

Trend and Timing:
Winds will shift from E to SW through the night. Some gusty westerly winds will be possible tomorrow as the front moves through.

Nice Looking Low Pressure Cell

 Model for Saturday morning - looking good.

29(900x800) images (2,775,613 bytes)

February 14, 2012

8:00am Start Time for Wed. Feb. 15th, 2012

HOODIES

Five have paid, sixteen have not... Hoody deadline has been extended till Sunday, Feb. 19th.

Thank You!!!!

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/14/2012 Weather

General Discussion: An approaching cold front has been pushing weak bands of moisture through the mountains this morning. High pressure is expected to build in behind the front this afternoon. This will create dry and clear conditions tonight and tomorrow.

Long-term: Thursday marks the potential change to a more active weather pattern with some storms expected to track through PNW over the weekend.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Tuesday

Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= .10
“of additional water by 4am=0
24hr total “of water = .10

24hr Snow Total= trace

Trend and Timing:
Not much more snow is expected today. Clear and dry conditions are expected through tomorrow.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 18 High: 24
Freezing level: 3000’ 2500’

Trend and Timing:
Cooler air will fill in behind the front lowering temperatures throughout the day. Clearing could produce a nice diurnal temperature swing tonight and tomorrow.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
0-5 W

Trend and Timing:
Light westerly flow will continue through tomorrow.

February 11, 2012

8:00am Start Time for Sunday Feb. 11th, 2012

Got Energy?

Not much engery can be mustered up with the gradients being so light.  Notice no isobars east of the Cascade Crest. This quickly weakens any disturbances trying to make their way east of the mountains.    This pattern will continue through most of next week.   

29(900x800) images (2,619,220 bytes)

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/11/2012 Weather

General Discussion: Rising pressure in the upper atmosphere is allowing these patchy surface clouds to hang around. The upper mountain is currently partly sunny with good visibility. With some luck, this fog will burned off for some sunshine in the base area.

Long-term: The weekend will finish as it started with patchy clouds and light precipitation. Another slightly more organizes band of snow will pass through late tomorrow night or early Monday morning. The rest of next week’s weather looks to be uneventful.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Saturday

Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= <.10
“of additional water by 4am=<.10
24hr total “of water = .10

24hr Snow Total= Trace

Trend and Timing:
Light snow, more like mist, will continue today and tomorrow.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 24 High: 34
Freezing level: 4500’ 3000’

Trend and Timing:
Freezing levels will bounce between 3000’ and 4000’ for the next few days.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
5-10 W

Trend and Timing:
The weekend will finish out under light westerly flow.

February 10, 2012

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/10/2012 Weather

General Discussion: Small bands of moisture, rotating around a low pressure cell spinning just off the coast, will continue to produce light snow today. It looks like we dodged the rain bullet. (I hope I didn’t just jinx us)

Long-term: This pattern will continue through the weekend.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Friday

Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= .25
“of additional water by 4am= .10
24hr total “of water = <.5

24hr Snow Total= 2-4

Trend and Timing:
Passing snow showers will continue through the weekend.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 28 High: 34
Freezing level: 4000’ 3000’

Trend and Timing:
Freezing levels will hold steady at 4000’ through the night. Surface temps will fall during the day tomorrow as cooler air moves in.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
0-5 E

Trend and Timing:
Light east flow will continue today and begin to shift SW tomorrow.

8:00 am Start TIme for Sat. Feb. 11th, 2012

February 9, 2012

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/9/2012 Weather

General Discussion: Radar shows the next band of moisture brushing up against the mountains this morning. We will continue to receive light, on and off precipitation for the next 24hrs .

Long-term: Weak systems will continue to brush the mountains through the weekend. The overall temperature regime is starting to trend in our favor, so we may dodge the rain bullet – let’s hope.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Thursday


Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= .15
“of additional water by 4am= .10
24hr total “of water = .25+

24hr Snow Total= 1-3

Trend and Timing:
Light precipitation will fall today, hopefully in the form of snow. Another similar event will occur tomorrow as bands of moisture continue to move through.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 30 High: 34
Freezing level: +- 4000’

Trend and Timing:
Looks like east flow may just save the day once again. Surface temperature are expected to hold at or just below freezing through the day.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
0-5 E

Trend and Timing:
Light east flow will continue through tomorrow.

Start Time Friday---8:00am

February 8, 2012

Start time Thursday---8:00am

Out the door at 8:05 for cornic work on B/N

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/8/2012 Weather

General Discussion: An unorganized and relatively weak weather pattern will create bands of moisture passing through the PNW starting today. Temperatures will also be on the mild side with a mixture of rain and snow possible for Stevens.

Long-term: This trend of passing spotty precipitation will continue into the weekend. Rain up to 5000’ will be likely on Friday with snow showers possible on Saturday.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Wednesday


Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= <.25
“of additional water by 4am= 0
24hr total “of water = .5

24hr Snow Total= 2-5

Trend and Timing:
Light snow, with a chance of some rain mixed in there, will be on the menu today. A stronger band of snow/rain mix will move through tomorrow morning (after 4am) with drying trend developing in the afternoon. Spotty showers of rain will return on Friday.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 32 High: 36
Freezing level: 4000’ 4500’

Trend and Timing:
Freezing levels will hover around 4000’ through tomorrow. A 5000’ + freezing levels will be likely tomorrow night and Friday. East flow help keep surface temperatures near freezing until late tomorrow.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
5-10 E

Trend and Timing:
Surface winds from the east will continue to flow through the Pass for the remainder of the week. SE flow aloft will affect the upper ridges.

February 7, 2012

Start time Wednesday---8:00am

Patrol Director Job Oportunity

John Pucci, our long-time Patrol director, is hanging it up this spring after more than 30 years at Schweitzer. We’re currently seeking candidates for the 2012-13 season. You may know of folks qualified for and interested in this position. Please pass this on as you see fit.


www.schweitzer.com/jobs

Scot Auld
Human Resources Director
Schweitzer Mountain Resort
Sandpoint, Idaho, USA
T 208.255.3027 direct
F 208.263.0775

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/7/2012 Weather

General Discussion: The high pressure that has dominated our weather pattern is beginning to weaken and drift east. This will open the door for a more active weather pattern to develop.

Long-term: The storms approaching the PNW will progressively get stronger through the next 3-7 days. We will have to endure some rain on Thursday and Friday with cooler air arriving on Saturday.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Tuesday

Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= 0
“of additional water by 4am=.10
24hr total “of water = .25

24hr Snow Total= 1-3

Trend and Timing:
Light snow will show up early tomorrow morning and continue through the day. Rain in the base area with mix rain and snow on the upper mountain will be possible on Thursday and Friday.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 22 High: 34
Freezing level: 3000’ 4500’

Trend and Timing:
The cool air east of the crest will begin to warm under southerly flow. This will allow freezing levels to rise above Pass level for the next few days. Freezing levels as high as 7000’ will be possible late tomorrow night through Friday.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
5-10 E

Trend and Timing:
East flow will stay intact but weaken today as warm southerly air invades.

February 6, 2012

8:00am Start Time for Feb 7th, 2012

Another week before possible change

Looks like one more week before the jet stream takes up a better position for a potential storm track.  At least its good touring weather.

Jet stream forecast model for next Saturday.
Animation of Jet Stream Forecasts

February 2, 2012

Start Time Friday---8:00am

Temp Gradients

Crazy E/W temperature gradients centered over the crest.  (9k freezing levels over P.Sound with 3000' freezing levels over the east slope)   This will produce strong east flow.

29(900x800) images (2,043,086 bytes)

Blocking Ridge

The blocking ridge along the entire west coast will keep all that activity out over the water for the next 4-7 days.

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/2/2012 Weather

General Discussion: Due to an amplified pressure ridge, a very dry air mass is settling over the PNW. This will grace the Cascade Mountains with dry and clear weather.

Long-term: High pressure will continue to bring dry and clear weather to the PNW through the extended period.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Thursday

Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= 0
“of additional water by 4am=0
24hr total “of water = 0

24hr Snow Total= 0

Trend and Timing:
Dry and clear.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 18 High: 34
Freezing level: +- 4000’

Trend and Timing:
Surface temperature will rise above freezing during the day and then drop into the high teens at night. (diurnal fluctuations) Freezing levels west of the crest could reach as high as 8000’ with cool air east of the crest holding surface temperatures near or below freezing. This pattern will persist through the weekend.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
5-15 E - gusty

Trend and Timing:
Breezy east flow will develop today and continue for the next few days.

February 1, 2012

Start Time Thursday---8:00am

STEVENS PASS MOUNTAIN WEATHER

2/1/2012 Weather

General Discussion: Last night’s storm nestled up against the west slope of the Cascades and then just stopped. Radar shows the tail end of the storm moving east of the mountain this morning. At least we squeezed 5+ inches out of it.

Long-term: High pressure will begin to build today. This will set up a longer term dry period, lasting well into the upcoming weekend.

24 hour Forecast Starting at NOON on Wednesday

Cumulative Precipitation Totals:
“water by midnight= .10
“of additional water by 4am= 0
24hr total “of water = .10

24hr Snow Total= 1-3

Trend and Timing:
Left over snow showers will continue this morning with clearing starting later today. Dry conditions will prevail for the remainder of the week.

Base Area Temperatures (F):
Low: 18 High: 24
Freezing level: 3500’ 2000’

Trend and Timing:
Diurnal temperatures changes will be likely with sunny days and cold clear nights. Freezing levels west of the crest will rise above Pass level while temperatures east of the crest will remain low. This is a recipe for inversions layers to form.

Winds Speed (mph)/Direction
5-10 W shifting NE

Trend and Timing:
Surface flow will shift from west to north then easterly through the next 24 hrs. Strong E/W gradients will keep east flow moving through the Pass for the remainder of the week.

8:00am Start for 4/15/2024 - TEAR DOWN

 Great Last Day!