December 4, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 1100 Sunday

The Snapshot: Snow tapering off with clear periods this afternoon.  More snow and continued cooling tomorrow.  Cold and dry for Tuesday and Wednesday, with more snow and warming to wrap up the week.   

The Science:  Whew, what a storm with +20” of snow and counting.  The convergence showers are starting to wane with partial clearing beginning.   Pressure gradients will ease a bit today which will produce a short break in the precipitation through early tomorrow morning.  Strong northwest flow will usher in the more cold air with freezing levels dropping to or below 500’ tomorrow. 

A low-pressure trough will track through tomorrow with more snow for Stevens.   A high pressure ridge will strengthen tomorrow night which will produce dry, cold and clear conditions Tuesday and Wednesday.   Cold temperatures will settle in with early morning temperatures in the lower teens tomorrow and possibly single digits by Wednesday morning.   

The Long Range:   More excitement starts on Thursday as the next series of frontal systems prepares to enter the region.   Details are still in question, but snow is likely with warming starting Thursday and lasting into the weekend.

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = .25 Snow = 1-3

Tomorrow’s 24hr water = .25-.5 snow = 3-6

Trend and Timing:
Snow will begin again after 4am tomorrow.  Snow diminishes to showers through the afternoon hours.


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low: 12    High: 20
Freezing level: 1500’ - 500’

Trend and Timing:   
Temperatures will continue to drop through the next 24hrs.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base:  5-10 W shifting E
Ridge Top:  5-15 W gusty

Trend and Timing:
Gusty westerly winds will slowly diminish today and shift easterly tomorrow.




jM

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 Great Last Day!