February 11, 2020

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST


Stevens Pass Mountain Weather Forecast
Date: Tuesday, February 10, 2020


Current Observations:
24hr Precipitation: 0” SWE/snow      
Temperature profile: 28 base/29 upper mtn  
Pass level winds: 5-10 westerly / 30-40 westerly upper mtn.              
Barometer: 1019 dropping                            
Sky: Mostly cloudy                             
Radar: No significant precip across the PNW


The Forecast: Mostly cloudy with light snow this afternoon. Dry and partly cloudy Wednesday.

The Science: The high pressure ridge that has brought sunny and calm weather lately is beginning to flatten out this morning, allowing upper level NW flow to impact the region. Cloud cover will increase and embedded moisture with a weak frontal boundary extending off a low waaay to our north will bring light snow showers this afternoon. A short lived bump of high pressure will move thru tomorrow for a mostly dry and mostly cloudy day with freezing levels bumping up a bit.

Long Range: The pattern this week is progressive with a stronger system arriving Thursday, bringing moderate snow thru Friday morning. Zonal flow sets up for the weekend with heavy snow possible Saturday and Sunday.

Confidence: Good.

Values from 4am today through 4am tomorrow.
Precipitation:
Today 24hr
water: .10 snow: 1-2”

Tomorrow’s 24hr
water: <.10  snow: trace

Trend and Timing:
Light flurries possible this afternoon, mostly dry tomorrow.

Temperature:
Low: 24   High: 30
Freezing level: 2500’

Trend and Timing:   
Steady temps today and tonight.
 
Winds
Base: 5-10 W
Ridge Top: 15-20 W (higher gusts possible this morning)

Trend and Timing:
Steady moderate winds today, becoming light tonight.

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