February 3, 2020

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST


Stevens Pass Mountain Weather Forecast
Date: Monday, February 3, 2020


Current Observations:
24hr Precipitation: .1” SWE / 3” snow                      
Temperature profile:  23 base / 20 upper mtn
Pass level winds:  Light westerly                    
Barometer: 1016 steady                                
Sky: Broken clouds                            
Radar: Light convergence showers between I-90 and Highway 2


The Forecast: Cool and calm today with sunshine. Increasing clouds tomorrow with heavy snow starting tomorrow night.

The Science: Another relatively quiet day (weather-wise anyways) is in store for today. North/northwesterly upper level flow will bring continued cool temperatures and mostly clear skies to the PNW.

Things get interesting Tuesday night as a strong warm front approaches in westerly flow. Heavy precipitation in the form of snow will begin after dark on Tuesday and continue on Wednesday. Temperatures will begin to rise with the moisture on Tuesday but should remain favorable for snow thru much of Wednesday. Further warming Wednesday afternoon and Thursday will occur with a warmer airmass pushing out the cold air. Time will tell what the precip type is Wednesday night.

Long Range: Impressive amounts of precipitation will fall between Wednesday and Friday with the jet stream riding over high pressure in the Pacific and taking aim at Washington State. Freezing levels rise just above pass level Thursday, then fall again Friday so precip type will likely be mixed at times in the base area. A strong cold front approaches on Saturday bringing cooling and more snow.

Confidence: Good for the next 36 hours. Poor for precip type the second half of the week but good for impending active weather.

Values from 4am today through 4am tomorrow.
Precipitation:
Today 24hr
water: LT .10 snow: 0-2”

Tomorrow’s 24hr
water: 1.25-1.5  snow: 12-16”

Trend and Timing:
Dry today and most of the daylight hours Tuesday, heavy snow Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Temperature:
Low: 19    High: 26
Freezing level: 1000’

Trend and Timing:   
Steady cool temps with some daytime warming today.
 
Winds
Base: W 0-5
Ridge Top: W 5-10

Trend and Timing:
Light winds expected thru Tuesday morning.

No comments: