November 5, 2012

30-90 Day Climate Forecast



30 Day Climate Forecast




Above are climate prediction graphics for the probability of temperature and precipitation for the month of November 2012. The one on the right is temperature and one on the left is for precipitation.


The 30 Day Climate Forecast

Stevens Pass should expect average temperature and average precipitation for the month of November. If the averages hold true, Stevens Pass should experience a typical November with snow not likely to accumulate until after Thanksgiving.

90 day (Nov 2012 – Jan 2013)




The 90 Day Climate Forecast

The PNW should expect average temperatures with below average precipitation through the end of January.

El Nino Watch:
EL Nino/La Nina is currently in a neutral state trending towards a weak El Nino. However, the trend toward El Nino slowed during the month of October which supports the PNW long rang prediction of a normal start to winter in both precipitation and temperature. The most recent models are now split on whether El Nino conditions will emerge at all this winter. This also supports the long range forecast for the PNW to have a near normal winter.

Normal is good.

JM

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