January 28, 2014

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 1000 Tuesday

The Snapshot: Cold air from the east and warm air from the west will make for an interesting mix of precipitation today.  Expect snow tomorrow and Thursday.


The Science:  A warm front lifting up from the south will bring rising freezing levels and a mixed bag of precipitation today.  Another warm front followed by a strong cold front will push through tomorrow.   This will eventually lower freezing levels and change the precipitation to snow.


4-7day Long Range:  Snow showers with sun breaks are expected to continue into Friday.  With some luck, there could be +10” of snow by the weekend.  A cold stable air mass dropping in from the north will create a mostly dry and cold weekend.

 
Precipitation:
Water by 4am = .25  Snow = 2-4
24hr total inches of water ending at noon tomorrow = .5-.75
24hr total inches of snow ending at noon tomorrow = 4-6
 
Trend and Timing:
Mix snow and rain, freezing rain and other types of precipitation will continue through the night.   The main bulk of moisture will arrive after 7pm tonight and continue through tomorrow.   The moisture should turn to all snow through the day tomorrow.   
 
 
Base Temp and Freezing levels: 
Low: 24   High:  32
Freezing level: +-4500’
 
Trends and Timing
Freezing levels will hover near 4500’ through tomorrow.  East flow will help hold surface temperatures at or just below freezing.  Warm air aloft will contribute to the temperature fluctuations.
 
 
Winds (mph)
Base: 0-5 E
Ridge Top: 0-10 W
 
Trend and Timing:
East flow at Pass level with westerly flow aloft.  Westerly flow will strengthen tomorrow with +20mph ridge top winds likely.  
 
 

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