January 2, 2015

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

0630 Friday:

The Snapshot:  Warmer with light snow today.  Dry tomorrow, heavy snow on Sunday, rain Sunday night, snow on Monday.

The Science:  This morning’s radar has spotty showers along the western slopes of the Cascades and the leading edge of an approaching cold front just north of Victoria BC.   Freezing levels have risen with temperatures near 320f  but will fall with the arrival of the cold front later today.   An upper-level ridge passing between systems will produce a dry and partly cloudy day tomorrow.

Long Range:  The main event begins on Sunday as a strong frontal system arrives.   This storm has it all, snow, rain, high winds, rain changing back to snow…  As of now, 2-3” of water is calculated between 4am Sunday and 4am Monday.   It starts out with 6-10” of snow changing to heavy rain Sunday night, and then back to snow  Monday morning.  Timing is still up for grabs – A storm update will be posted later today with fresher data.     

Precipitation ending at 4am:

Today’s 24hr Water =.25  Snow = 1-3

Tomorrow’s 24hr Water=.25   Snow = 1-3

Trend and Timing:
Light snow develops through the day with less than .25” expected.   Tomorrow will be dry with snow arriving early Sunday morning.


24hr temperature ending at 4am tomorrow: 
Low: 18   High: 32
Freezing level: 4000’    2500’

Trends and Timing:
Temperatures will slowly fall through the day with lows hitting the upper teens early tomorrow morning. 
 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4am tomorrow:
Base: 5-10 W
Ridge Top:  5-15+ W   

Trend and Timing:
Gusty westerly winds will accompany the front today.  Short periods of +20mph are possible with the passing of the front this afternoon.



JM

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