February 20, 2015

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

0630 Friday:

The Snapshot:  Light mixed rain and snow will continue today, precipitation diminished tomorrow, dry with cooling through the weekend.  

The Science:  Cool unstable NW flow will allow the light precipitation to persist through the day.  High-pressure building off the NW coast and cold east flow will bring a dry, clear and cold weekend.  Low temperatures by Sunday morning will be in the teens.   

Long Range: A shift to an active NW flow pattern is beginning to take shape for late next week.  The first of a series of storms begins late Wednesday night.    Snow dances….  Note: UW GFS long range models are having trouble booting up this morning.  Update on next week’s storm system tomorrow.  
 

Precipitation ending at 4am:

Today’s 24hr Water = .25   Snow = 1-3 

Tomorrow’s 24hr Water = 0  Snow =  0

Trend and Timing:
Mixed rain and snow continuing today, tapers off tonight, dry tomorrow.


24hr temperature ending at 4am tomorrow: 
Low: 24   High: 34
Freezing level: 4500’   3000.’

Trends and Timing:
Freezing levels drop below 4000’ tonight and continue to descend through the weekend.  Low temperatures in the teens by early Sunday morning.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4am tomorrow:
Base: 0-5 NW shifting E
Ridge Top:  5-10 NW shifting W

Trend and Timing:
Westerly winds shift easterly and strengthen tomorrow.



JM

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