March 14, 2015

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

0730 Saturday:

The Snapshot:  Rain today, mixed rain and snow tonight and then again tomorrow.

The Science:  This morning’s satellite imagery has widespread rain, originating from a subtropical plumb spreading throughout the state. A cold front preparing to enter the scene tonight will cut off the moisture and drop freezing levels to +- 4500’.  Rain and snow return tomorrow as a low-pressure system tracking up the coast spins another band of moisture through the Cascade Mountains.   East flow developing will push temperatures just below freezing for some snow early Monday morning. 
  
Long Range:  Next week will start out wet with snow turning to rain on Monday.   High-pressure east of the mountains and weak weather systems clipping the NW coast will bring a mixed bag off weather for the next +- 7 days.       

Weather of Note: Cat 5 Cyclone Pam hit the South Pacific (southern hemisphere) yesterday.  Pam is one of the strongest storms on recorded with record breaking low barometric pressure.   (-900 mb with 165mph sustained winds)     

Precipitation ending at 4am:

Today’s 24hr Water = 1   Snow =  1-3

Tomorrow’s 24hr Water = .75  Snow = 3-5 

Trend and Timing:
Rain today changing to mixed snow late tonight, a dry start to the day tomorrow with mixed rain and snow developing later in the day.  The precipitation will diminish by Monday evening.


24hr temperature ending at 4am tomorrow: 
Low: 30   High: 46
Freezing level: 7000’   4500.’

Trends and Timing:
Freezing levels will temporarily fall to +-4500’ in the wake of the passing cold front late tonight.  Freezing levels will fluctuate between 4000’ and 5000’ through Monday morning.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4am tomorrow:
Base: 0-10 W
Ridge Top:   5-15 W gusty

Trend and Timing:
Westerly flow today with gusty ridge top winds.  East flow develops tomorrow.




JM

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