March 30, 2015

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

0700 Monday:   

The Snapshot:  Don’t put those skis away just yet. Light intermittent rain showers with sun breaks today, snow tomorrow and Wednesday, dry on Thursday with more snow for the weekend.     

The Science: The first official week of April will be active in the weather department.  A strong cold front will push a good dose of moisture with falling temperature into the mountains starting early tomorrow morning.  Nice winter-like features such as NW flow and convergence zone activity is showing up on the models.  Moderate to heavy snow can be expected tomorrow with up to 10” possible.  Snow turns to intermittent showers in the wake of the front on Wednesday.   Thursday will be a dry interim day before other cold frontal system sets up to enter the PNW. 

Note: With such high temperatures today and cold unstable air rapidly mixing in, the chance of thunderstorms (lightening) development will be likely.  

Long Range:  Another cold front is expected to bring more snow on Friday.  It is a bit far out to be confident on how much snow will on the ground by Saturday morning, but it is looking promising.  Stay Tuned.

Precipitation ending at 4am:

Today’s 24hr Water =.10    Snow = 1/2” 

Tomorrow’s 24hr Water =  .75  Snow =  6-10

Trend and Timing:
Light rain will be possible through the early morning hours of tomorrow.  Snow begins tomorrow morning and continues through the day.


24hr temperature ending at 4am tomorrow: 
Low: 32  High: 55
Freezing level: 8000’   4000.’

Trends and Timing:
Freezing levels will peak +8000’ today and rapidly fall after midnight.
 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4am tomorrow:
Base: 0-5 W
Ridge Top: 5-15 W  

Trend and Timing:
Gusty westerly winds will accompany the leading edge of the cold front early tomorrow morning. Winds will diminish tomorrow as they shift NW through the day.


JM

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