October 23, 2015

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

The Snapshot:  This beautiful fall weather will last through Saturday.  Rain starts on Sunday, dry Tuesday.  Then things get interesting.

The Science: While Cat 3 Hurricane Olaf is churning up the winds and the waters to the south, the jet stream is beginning to shift north and pull in some cooler air.  Couple this with this critical time of year, weather geeks are surely sitting on the edge of their seats.  There is some very interesting movement happening in the North Pacific Atmosphere.  Cliff Mass is honing in on the same thing: http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/

Yesterday’s forecast is still on track with beautiful dry and clear weather through Saturday with rain entering the scene on Sunday/Monday. 


Things get interesting on Wednesday when the storm track takes aim at the PNW. This is pretty far out to get swayed by details that will surely change, but; long range models show a large low-pressure system strengthening over the North Pacific waters next week.  This storm system has the potential to usher in the season’s first round of heavy precipitation.  Rain will be the moisture type for Stevens Pass with freezing levels 6500’ and higher for this first round.   However, cold air filtering in from the Bearing Sea later in the week indicates a seasonal shift to the weather pattern.   As Cliff Mass alludes to in his blog, this is typically late October early November seasonal shifts.  A promising sign that things are changing as they should be, winter is approaching.        

JM

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