December 9, 2015

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0630 Wednesday

The Snapshot: +5” of rain was recorded during the last 24hrs.  Rain changing to snow this morning with precipitation diminishing. Intermittent moderate to heavy snow showers with generally cooler temperatures expected for the rest of the week. 

The Science: As of 2 am this morning, the leading edge of the approaching cold front had just made landfall.  Temperatures are already beginning to fall with snow falling on the upper mountain.   Once the front moves east of the mountains, the snow will shift to showers and taper off. 3-5” of snow is possible before it ends later today. 

A low-pressure system churning just off the NW coast will spin bands of moisture (snow) into the Cascade Mountains tomorrow morning and then again on Friday.  

Long Range:  Another low-pressure system, with cooler NW flow in tow, arrives on Saturday.   As of now,  storm total  calculations are around a 1” of water / 12-14” of snow from Saturday noon through Sunday 4 pm.  Those number will surely mature as this system develops further. 

A weak high-pressure system develops early next week for a dry and cold start to the new week.    

Precipitation ending at 4 am:
Today’s 24hr Water = .5   Snow =  3-6

Tomorrow’s 24hr Water = .25-.5    Snow = 3-6 

Trend and Timing:
Snow tapers off after 4 pm today.  Snow showers begin again early tomorrow morning and diminish to light snow showers through the day. Hit repeat for Friday.   


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
Low: 26 High: 32
Freezing level: 4000’ -3500.'

Trends and Timing:
Freezing levels are on the decline and should drop below 4000’ this morning.   Freezing levels should remain at or below Pass level for the remainder of the year.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base: 5-10 WSW
Ridge Top: 10-20 W  Gusty

Trend and Timing:
Strong westerly winds will accompany this morning’s front.  Watch for ridge top winds gusting +40 this morning and diminishing this afternoon.



JM

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