January 12, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0630 Tuesday

The Snapshot:  Several storms are lined up to impact the PNW for the next several days.  Mixed rain and snow tonight with partial clearing tomorrow.  Snow Thursday night and Friday.

The Science:  3” of snow fell overnight, temperatures are currently 310f  on top and 220f  at the base, which indicates the warmer air to the southwest is trying to override the cooler air to the east.  This temperature battle will continue as the next, stronger, system makes its way toward the mountains later today.   

This morning radar has the leading edge of an approaching warm front just hitting the South Puget Sound area and creeping its way north east.  Light mixed rain and snow can be expected today with heavier precipitation tonight and tomorrow.   A weak cold front with an imbedded upper level ridge will bring an end to the heavy precipitation tomorrow morning with light snow showers and sun breaks.  

The Long Range:  Another strong frontal system with potential heavy snow arrives late Thursday night and yet another (warmer) system sometime during the weekend. 

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = .75-1  snow = 2-5 lower mountain 4-10 upper

Tomorrow’s 24hr  water = < .25  snow = 1-2

Trend and Timing:
Snow showers today ramping up to mixed rain and snow tonight.  Precipitation diminished early tomorrow morning.   Snow totals will be dependent on where the freezing levels decide to land.  


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low:  24   High: 32
Freezing level: 4500’ - 3000’

Trend and Timing:   
Temperature will continue to inch up today with freezing levels briefly peaking around 4500’ just after midnight.   Temperatures will them begin to fall tomorrow.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base: 0-5 E shifting W
Ridge Top: 5-10 SE gusty

Trend and Timing:
Easterly flow will continue to struggle today and eventually shift westerly then NW tomorrow.




jM

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