January 26, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0630 Tuesday

The Snapshot:  Snow changing to rain today, intermittent showers overnight, heavy rain on Thursday, snow on Friday.

The Science: This morning’s radar has the leading edge of the approaching warm front just entering the west slopes of the mountains; snow changing to rain can be expected to begin near daybreak.  The precipitation will turn to intermittent light showers overnight with the next stronger front hitting Stevens Pass tomorrow afternoon.    Heavy rain can be expected tomorrow night through most of Thursday with freezing levels topping out around 6500’.

The Long Range:  A cold front following the rain event Thursday afternoon/evening will likely change the rain back to snow before it comes to an end.   There is potential for snow on Friday with the weekend trending dry at the moment. 

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = .5 Snow = 0-2

Tomorrow’s 24hr water = .5  snow = 0

Trend and Timing:
Today’s precipitation could start out as snow but will switch to rain by noon or so.  Rain changes to showers late this afternoon with light showers through the night and most of tomorrow.


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low: 28    High: 38
Freezing level: 4000’ - +5500’

Trend and Timing:   
Freezing levels should rise above the upper ridge by noon or so today. 

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base: 0-5 E
Ridge Top: 5-10 SSW

Trend and Timing:
Weak east flow at the surface with southerly flow aloft will continue.  A short period of gusty winds could accompany the passing of the front this afternoon.




jM

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