January 29, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0630 Friday

The Snapshot: 4” of new snow with a brief convergence zone overnight. Moderate snow today and tonight with another round of lesser amounts Saturday night.  

The Science:  An occluded front with a parent low centered south of the OR/WA border is making its way ashore this morning.  Radar shows heavy precipitation to our west. Moist westerly upper-level flow should bring moderate to occasionally heavy snow with lowering freezing levels to Stevens Pass today and tonight.  The Puget Sound Convergence Zone will play a factor in snow totals tonight and early tomorrow morning.  High westerly winds will also be in play with this storm.

The Long Range: Models are backing down on the amplitude of the high-pressure ridge for next week, currently showing the North Central Cascades under continued NW upper-level flow, keeping snow in the forecast. Stay tuned.    

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = .75 Snow = 6-10 + (convergence)

Tomorrow’s 24hr water = .25 snow = 2-4

Trend and Timing:
Snow should pick up after daybreak Friday morning. Steady snow showers with possible heavier snow in convergence Friday afternoon through daybreak Saturday. Moderate snow showers will continue Sunday.   
.

24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low: 22    High: 30
Freezing level: 3000’ – 2000.'

Trend and Timing:   
Snow level is currently at 3000’, with cooling behind the front, temperatures should drop further overnight into Saturday morning.  

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base: 5-10 W gusty
Ridge Top 10-20 W sustained with gust to 40 possible.

Trend and Timing:
Winds will pick up this morning and remain strong and gusty from the west through Saturday midday.  





DV

No comments:

8:00am Start for 4/15/2024 - TEAR DOWN

 Great Last Day!