March 23, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0800 Wednesday

The Snapshot:  Light snow showers with sun breaks today, increasing mixed rain and snow tonight with snow increasing tomorrow.   Potential powder day on Friday.

The Science: A low-pressure system developing in the Gulf of Alaska will drive a warm front followed by a cold front into the PNW starting tonight.  Freezing levels will spike up (+-5000’) in the wake of the warm front tonight but, cool westerly flow will fill in behind the cold front tomorrow.   Therefore, expected mixed rain and snow tonight with snow intensifying tomorrow.  The Puget Sound Convergence Zone is expected to develop which will bring periods of heavy snow and wind to Stevens Pass tomorrow.  

At the moment, storm totals by Friday noon exceed 1.5” of water and or 10-15” of snow; those values will be refined later today.  

The Long Range:  Saturday will be mostly dry with sun breaks with more snow on Sunday. 

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = .5 Snow = 2-4

Tomorrow’s 24hr water = 1 snow = 8-10

Trend and Timing:
Lights rain and snow showers today, snow tomorrow.


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low: 28    High: 36
Freezing level: 5000’ – 3500.'

Trend and Timing:   
Freezing levels will spike to near 5000’ tonight and then fall early tomorrow morning.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base: 0-5 W  gusty
Ridge Top: 5-15 W gusty

Trend and Timing:
Winds will be light today.   Westerly flow increases tonight with high ridge top winds expected.  Convergence flow will bring a windy day tomorrow.




jM

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