March 26, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0730 Saturday

The Snapshot:  High clouds, warm and dry today, mixed rain and snow developing tonight changing to snow tomorrow.  A good dose of Spring arrives next week.

The Science:  The high cloud deck this morning will clear for some nice sunshine later today.  A cold front with NW flow in tow will move in late tonight for another round of snow showers for Stevens Pass.  The precipitation will likely start out as light rain tonight as it mixes with the lingering warm air mass.  Temperatures will fall in the wake of the front with cool westerly flow providing snow showers for most of the day tomorrow.  Gusty ridge top winds will also accompany the front tomorrow morning, but they should be fairly short lived.

The Long Range: Snow showers will linger into Monday with a drying trend beginning Monday afternoon.   A strong high-pressure system will bring warm, dry and clear weather to the PNW starting on Tuesday and will likely last through the upcoming weekend.

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = .25  Snow = 0-2

Tomorrow’s 24hr water = .5-.75 snow =  6-8

Trend and Timing:
Light rain turning to snow will begin after 7 pm tonight.  Snow showers will persist into Monday morning.  


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low: 30    High: 45
Freezing level: 7000’ – 4500.'

Trend and Timing:   
Temperatures will quickly climb into the upper 40’s today or even touch 50 with the aid of the sun.  Freezing levels will fall to or just below Pass level after 4 am tomorrow morning.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:

Base: 0-5 SW
Ridge Top: 0-10 SSW

Trend and Timing:
Southerly flow aloft will shift north-westerly tomorrow morning.  Gusty winds will accompany the front, but are not expected to last very long.  




jM

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