October 26, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 10:00 am Wednesday

The Snapshot:  The mountains are draped in a soppy blanket this morning.  The radar has heavy rain falling along the western slopes with the higher elevations (+ 7000) getting some snow.  The rain will begin to shift showers tomorrow with intermittent rain showers persisting in the mountains through the weekend.

The Science:   Today’s heavy rain is being powered by a low-pressure system tracking up from the south.  The center of the low is currently just off the Oregon coast and is expected to track north into southern Canada over the next 12hrs.   A long SW fetch of moisture is in tow which is the main source of the rain today. The rain should turn to showers tomorrow as the storm heads into the Canadian Coastal Mountains tonight.   

The Long Range: The atmosphere will remain unstable, keeping the threat of rain in the discussion through the weekend.   Next week will start out mostly dry with a cooler air mass in the early development stages for mid to late next week. 

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = +1” Snow = 0

Tomorrow’s 24hr water =  .25-.5 snow = 0

Trend and Timing:
Moderate to heavy rain today tapering to showers after midnight tonight.


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low: 36    High: 48
Freezing level: +6500’

Trend and Timing:   
Temperatures will remain on the mild side for the next few days with freezing levels at or above 6000’.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base: 5-10 E shifting S
Ridge Top: 5-15 E shifting S

Trend and Timing:
 Some gusty easterly winds can be expected today with the general flow shifting southerly tonight.





jM

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8:00am Start for Friday 3/29/2024 No ABS

 Warm and dry weather is on the way.