November 22, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0800 Tuesday

The Snapshot:  Snow this afternoon, flurries tomorrow, snow on Thursday and Friday.

The Science:  The leading edge of the approaching frontal system has just made landfall and is expected to enter the mountains later today.   This approaching system has a fast moving warm front leading the charge but will be quickly followed by a cold front.  East flow should hold temperatures at or below 320 with freezing level falling in the wake of the cold front later tonight.  Snow will diminish overnight with snow showers persisting tomorrow. 

*I will post Thursday/Friday storm totals later today with fresh model data. 

The Long Range:   Cool unstable NW flow will keep the snow in the forecast through the weekend.  Another storm is starting to take shape for Sunday(?) with next week starting out dry and a bit warmer.

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = +.25 Snow =2-5

Tomorrow’s 24hr water = <.25  snow = 1-2

Trend and Timing:
Snow should begin this afternoon and taper off early tomorrow morning.  Tomorrow will have light snow showers with the next wave of moisture arriving Thursday morning.


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low:  26   High: 34
Freezing level: 4000’   3000’

Trend and Timing:   

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base:  0-10 E shifting W
Ridge Top: 5-10 E shifting W

Trend and Timing:
 East flow will persist through the night and shift westerly tomorrow. 




jM

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