November 24, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0830 Thursday

The Snapshot:  Snow today, snow diminishing overnight, relatively dry tomorrow with snow expected on Saturday.  More storms on the way next week.  

The Science:  This morning’s radar has the leading edge of an approaching cold front entering the Olympic Peninsula.  Snow will intensify as the front marches east.  Another pulse of moisture will push up from the south tonight with a short period of some rain in the mix; this should be short lived if at all.  Freezing levels will be around 4000’ so the snow will be wet and heavy.   Good base making.   

Pressure gradients will ease with some mid level ridging tomorrow which will bring and end to the steady precipitation and even produces some clearing. A weak low-pressure system will swings through on Saturday with few more inches of snow possible during the day.  

The Long Range: Saturday night and Sunday will be mostly dry with partial clearing.  Active NW flow continues more snow for the final week of November.  

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = .75-1 Snow = 8-12

Tomorrow’s 24hr water = .25 snow = 1-3

Trend and Timing:
Snow has begun to fall; there will be a brief lull this afternoon with a pulse of heavy snow around midnight.  Snow quickly tapers off tomorrow with little snow expected after 7am tomorrow.


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low:  28   High: 34
Freezing level: +-4000’

Trend and Timing:   
Temperatures will be consistent around 300 f through Saturday night.  Sun breaks could push temps up a few degrees tomorrow. 

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base:  0-10 E
Ridge Top: 5-10 ESE

Trend and Timing:
East flow at the surface with southeasterly flow aloft will continue into Saturday.




jM

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