December 25, 2016

Mountain Weather Forecast

Time and Day: 0800 Sunday

The Snapshot:  Clear and cold today, moderate snow beginning Monday afternoon turning heavy by Tuesday morning with a warming trend.

The Science:  Clear and cold over Washington this morning with temperatures at Stevens Pass in the mid-teens. Surface high pressure and dry northerly flow aloft will maintain sunny and cold conditions in the Cascades today. Things will begin to get interesting again Monday afternoon. A strong westerly jet stream will become centered over Washington State and carry an embedded trough across the forecast area Monday night and Tuesday morning. There will be a brief warming trend with freezing levels rising to 3000-3500 feet early Tuesday morning. East flow may help keep local freezing levels at Stevens Pass a bit lower.

Orographic snow showers will continue in strong zonal flow Tuesday and Wednesday morning. Brief high pressure will move across the area Wednesday afternoon providing a short break.

The Long Range: Behind Wednesday’s short-lived high pressure ridge, continued westerly flow and a low pressure trough will swing through Washington on Thursday/Friday for another snow event.


Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = 0 Snow = 0

Tomorrow’s 24hr water =  1.0  Snow = 10-12

Trend and Timing:
Snow will begin Monday afternoon and quickly become heavy overnight, continuing Tuesday.

24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
                                     
Low:  15   High: 22
Freezing level: 500’

Trend and Timing:   
Temperatures will remain cool with low freezing levels through 4am Monday morning, then begin to rise.
 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base: 0-5 Variable
Ridge Top: 5-10 SSW

Trend and Timing:
 Light east winds at Pass level through Monday morning, ridgetop winds shifting from northerly to SSW overnight.

DV

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