December 26, 2016

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0630 Monday

The Snapshot:  A winter storm watch begins today with heavy snow and wind expected in the mountains this evening and tomorrow.   Snow is likely to continue into Wednesday morning with another system coming into play for the end of the week.

The Science:   The leading edge of the approaching frontal system is currently just making landfall along the Olympic Peninsula.  Snow should begin to fall at Stevens this afternoon and intensify through the night.  A warm airmass ahead of the front will temporarily bump freezing levels up to +-3500’ late tonight.   Strong cool westerly flow with PS convergence zone effects will greet the day tomorrow with heavy orographic snow likely for most of the day.   

The Long Range:  More snow arrives on Thursday and then a weaker system again on Saturday.  Long term models indicate cold and dry heading into the New Year.

Precipitation Ending at 4am:

Today 24hr water = .75-1 Snow = 8-12

Tomorrow’s 24hr water = 1 snow = 8-14

Trend and Timing:
Snow begins after 2 pm today and ramps up through the night.  Convergence showers persist through most of tomorrow.


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
Low:  22   High: 26
Freezing level: 3500’ – 2500’

Trend and Timing:   
Temperatures will peak (+-260 ) around midnight tonight.  Freezing levels will then fall to around 2500’ tomorrow.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base:  5-10 W
Ridge Top: 10-2- W

Trend and Timing:
A short period of easterly flow will occur today.  Winds shift westerly tonight and strengthen through the early morning hours.





jM

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