October 30, 2017

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0930 Monday

The Snapshot:  Dry today and tomorrow with increasing clouds.  Light mixed rain and snow on Wednesday, snow and colder temperatures finish out the week.  

The Science:   
Temp = 39f, Rh = 47%, barometer = 1021mb and steady, winds = gusty 10-15 E.

Nice daytime temperature recovery will continue today and tomorrow with a cooling trend beginning on Wednesday. The pressure/temperature gradients along the Cascade Crest that are producing these gusty easterly winds will begin to ease today with NW flow filling in tomorrow.  

The high pressure that produced this amazing weather as of late will begin to weaken and drift offshore over the next few days.  This will open the door for a pattern change to develop.  Cool unstable air sinking in from the north will allow a few weather systems to drop in from the north as the week progresses.   There will be snow associated with this new weather pattern, but because it is coming from the north interior, (cold with low Rh’s) it won’t likely pack a ton of moisture.  

As for snow, it is a bit early to have much confidence in the models; but as of now, there will be a few inches Wednesday night into Thursday with an additional 4-8” on Thursday and Friday.  Those values will likely change as the models begin to come into agreement.

The Long Range:  The weekend is trending dry, clear and cold. Low temperatures could be in the teens through the weekend.

24hr Precipitation ending at 4am:
Today 24hr water:  0 snow: 0
Tomorrow’s 24hr water:  0 snow: 0

Trend and Timing:
Dry through Wednesday.


24hr temperature ending at 4 am: 
Low:32     High: 45
Freezing level: 4500- 7000’

Trend and Timing:   
Freezing levels will fluctuate between 7000’ and 4500’ with good daytime temperature recovery.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am:
Base: 5-10 E
Ridge Top: 5-15 E shifting NW

Trend and Timing:
These easterly winds will diminish today and begin to shift north-west tomorrow.



jM

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