November 9, 2017

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0800 Thursday

The Snapshot:  Light snow today.  Tomorrow will be mostly dry with a few mixed rain and snow showers possible.  The next storm comes in on Sunday.    

The Science

Current Observations:  1-2” of snow fell overnight, it is lightly snowing with broken layered clouds, the temperature is 300f,  the Rh is 90%,  the barometer is 1005mb and falling, the winds are light and out of the east.

The low-pressure cell, that has parked itself off of the PNW coast, will spin an occluded front through the region over the next 24hrs.  Bands of moisture being pushed out ahead of the front will keep light snow falling for the remainder of the day.  Once the front heads into the interior west late tonight, the flow will shift southwesterly and a weak high pressure ridge will begin to form.  Thus, tomorrow and Saturday will be mostly dry with some clear periods.  

The Long Range:  The next storm of interest enters the scene late Saturday with mixed rain and snow expected into Sunday.  Freezing levels will  be 5000’ on Sunday with cooler air and snow expected for most of next week.         

*Next week looks pretty snowy so keep tuned for those details mature.

24hr Precipitation ending at 4am:
Today 24hr water: .5 snow: 2-4
Tomorrow’s 24hr water: .10  snow: trace

Trend and Timing:
Light steady snow will continue through the day with the precipitation shifting to showers and then tapering off tomorrow.


24hr temperature ending at 4 am: 
Low: 30    High: 34
Freezing level: +- 4500’

Trend and Timing:   
The temperature profile will remain constant with freezing levels staying around 4500’  fot the next 24-36hrs.   There will be some daytime warming with peak afternoon highs in the mid to upper 30’s.   

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am:
Base: 0-5 E shifting SW
Ridge Top: 0-10 ESE

Trend and Timing:
Winds will shift southwesterly this afternoon and then trend back to easterly tomorrow.



jM

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