December 1, 2017

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0630 Friday

The Snapshot: Snow through Sunday morning.  Sunshine and cooler weather finish out the weekend.  Dry and warmer weather moves in on Monday.

The Science

Current Observations:
It is clear with a temperature of 300f .  5” of new snow fell, mostly during the day yesterday.  The RH is 93% and the barometer is 1015mb and falling.  The wind is light and out of the west.

The Forecast:
The next 2 rounds of moisture are the way.  Flurries of the first wave should show up this morning with the main bulk of moisture arriving this afternoon.  The next, slightly more potent storm moves through tomorrow with additional accumulative snow likely.  This weather event is being driven by a low-pressure cell tracking in from the Gulf of Alaska.  Freezing levels are expected to hold at or just below 4000’ today and then begin to fall tonight. 

The snow, with falling temperatures, will continue into early Sunday morning and them come to an end.   Snow totals by 4 am Sunday morning could exceed 15”. 


The Long Range:  A strong high pressure system is expected to bring a prolonged dry period starting on Sunday and lasting through most of next week.  Cold air sinking in from the north on Sunday will provide a few days of low temperatures.  Freezing levels slowly rise next week with unseasonably mild temperatures rounding out the week.
      

24hr Precipitation ending at 4am:
Today 24hr water: + .5 snow: 3-6
Tomorrow’s 24hr water: .75  snow: 6-8+

Trend and Timing:
Lights snow showers expected mid-morning with the main bulk of moisture falling between 4 pm and midnight.


24hr temperature ending at 4 am: 
Low: 28    High: 34
Freezing level: 4500’ -3000’

Trend and Timing:   
Freezing levels will bump up slightly today and then begin to fall tonight.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am:
Base: 0-5 W
Ridge Top: 5-10 WSW

Trend and Timing:
Westerly winds strengthening tonight.  Winds diminish tomorrow morning and shift easterly.



jM

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