December 11, 2017

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 0700 Monday

The Snapshot:  Cold with surface fog today.  Continued dry with broken clouds and warmer temperatures will continue through Thursday.  Change begins on Friday.   

The Science

Current Observations: It is foggy this morning with temperatures in the teens.  The RH is 93% and the barometer is 1028mb and starting to fall.   The easterly winds are gusting at 10-15mph. 

The Forecast:  The inversion layer is expected to weaken over the next 24hrs.  If this materializes, warm air advection from the southwest will begin to erode the cold air trapped in the eastern basin. This could push out the inversion temperatures and the low elevation cloud layer.  Mixed clouds with sun breaks move in tomorrow as a weak system brushes up against the coast. 

The falling barometer is an early indication of the high-pressure beginning to weakening. However, the high pressure will remain stubborn for most of the week which will keep the region mostly dry, partially clear and warmer.  

The Long Range:  Finally, the northern jet stream makes a run at the PNW starting on Friday.  Long range models have snow moving in on Friday with more storms for the weekend.

24hr Precipitation ending at 4am:
Today 24hr water:0  snow:0
Tomorrow’s 24hr water:  0 snow: 0

Trend and Timing:
0


24hr temperature ending at 4 am: 
Low: 16    High: 32
Freezing level: 4000’ – 8000’

Trend and Timing:   
Inversion temperatures are expected to lift today with freezing levels aloft around 8000’.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4am:
Base: 0-10 E 
Ridge Top: 5-15 E shifting W

Trend and Timing:
East flow is expected to shift southwesterly late tonight.



jM

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0800 start for Tuesday 12/23/25, no ABS

 Setup Crew