January 21, 2018

Mountain Weather Forecast

Time and Day:  0720 Sunday

The Snapshot:   Moderate snow during the day Sunday and early Monday, ending Monday midday.

Current Observations:  2” of snow in the past 24 hours brings our season snow total to 201”! Temperatures are in the mid 20’s across the mountain and winds are light out of the east. The barometer is falling slowly as the front approaches.

The Science:   The low pressure cell that has been parked offshore spinning moderate bands of snow our way the past few days is moving inland today. The warm front is beginning to affect the coast and should cross the crest mid-morning. Winds will be strong in western Washington from the SW, which will likely not be noticeable at Stevens Pass. After the trough passes mid-afternoon, winds will shift to westerly and become gusty. Westerly upper level flow Sunday night and Monday morning will support orographic showers with a brief period of moderate to heavy snow possible early Monday morning.

The Long Range:   Snow showers end midday Monday, with clearing skies likely. The next strong system arrives Tuesday morning with rising freezing levels (3-4,000’) and heavy snow possible. The weather remains active through next weekend.

24hr Precipitation ending at 4am:
Today 24hr water: .5-.75    Snow: 6-8”
Tomorrow’s 24hr water:  .25-.5    Snow: 4-6”

Trend and Timing:
Light to moderate snow Sunday, with a brief break overnight before moderate snow begins again in the early Monday morning hours. Most of Day 2 snow will be a continuation of Day 1.

24hr temperature ending at 4am: 
Low:  23   High: 30
Free air freezing level: 2,000

Trend and Timing:   
There will be some daytime warming and a bit of warm(er) air Sunday mid-morning, but overall temps should remain steady through Monday.  
 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4am:
Base: E 5-10, then W 10-15
Ridge Top: E 10-15, then SW/W 20-30 and gusty

Trend and Timing:
Light east winds in advance of the front, shifting to SW midday and W overnight, becoming moderate to strong and gusty.   

DV

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