January 30, 2018

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day:  0700 Tuesday

The Snapshot:  Snow showers, gusty winds and cooler temperatures today. It could be a nice powder day tomorrow.   Another warm moist air mass moves in on Thursday for a chance of rain heading into the weekend. 

The Science

Current Observations:  1.4” of rain fell yesterday with 2" of snow overnight.  It is partly cloudy this morning; the temperature profile is 29/base and 25/top.  The barometer has clicked up a few notches to 1011mb’s.  The winds are westerly and a bit gusty (+-10 mph) on the upper mountain. The radar has cooler westerly flow filling in behind the cold front that passed east of the crest just after midnight last night. 

The Forecast:  The Puget Sound Convergence Zone will kick in today with heavy to moderate snow and falling temperatures.  Snow slowly diminishes tomorrow with rising freezing levels beginning on Thursday.

The Long Range:  Another strong warm front lifts up through the region on Thursday with high freezing levels and another shot of rain to wrap up the week.  The models are all over the board for what the weekend will bring, so we will have to wait to see how that decides to play out.       

24hr values daily 4am to 4am.

Precipitation:
Today 24hr
water:.75-1   snow:  6-10 +

Tomorrow’s 24hr
water: .5  snow: 4-6

Trend and Timing:
Moderate snow today.  Convergence conditions could increase totals.  Snow diminishes tomorrow.


Temperature:
Low:  24   High: 28
Freezing level: 3500’ – 2000’

Trend and Timing:   
Freezing levels will fall to below 2500’ tonight and stay around that level into Thursday.

 
Winds
Base:  5-15 W
Ridge Top: 10-20 W

Trend and Timing:
Consistent westerly winds will blow today and begin to lighten up tomorrow.

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