February 20, 2018

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST


Time and Day: 0630 Tuesday

The Snapshot:  This cold and mostly dry weather pattern will persist through Thursday with warming and potential measurable snow for the weekend.

The Science

Current Observations:  It is clear this morning with a balmy temperature of 9 degrees.  The barometer is holding steady at 1014mb’s with the winds blowing lightly out of the west.  Satellite radar has snow falling out along the coast and the south I-5 corridor.  The rest of the state is dry with broken high cirrus clouds overhead.

The Forecast:  A weak off-shore low-pressure system tracking south is the source of the high clouds and the snow in southwest lowlands.  A weak snow shower or two may sneak in today but, for the most part, we will remain mostly dry and cold through Thursday.   

The Long Range:  A fairly strong frontal system is setting up to bring snow late Friday afternoon.  It is a bit far out for strong confidence in the details, so stay tuned.       

24hr values daily 4am to 4am.
Precipitation:
Today 24hr
water: lt.10  snow: trace

Tomorrow’s 24hr
water: 0  snow: 0

Trend and Timing:
Mostly dry through early Friday morning.


Temperature:
Low: 9    High: 20
Freezing level: 0-500’

Trend and Timing:   
Freezing levels will remain low through the next 24-48hrs.

 
Winds
Base: 0-5 W to E
Ridge Top: 0-10 W to E

Trend and Timing:
Weak east flow is expected to develop today. 


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