February 22, 2018

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST


Time and Day: 0700 Thursday

The Snapshot:  Clear and mostly dry today with snow arriving tomorrow afternoon.  Snow showers are expected through the weekend.


The Science

Current Observations:  1” of snow fell overnight with clear conditions being reported this morning.  The temperature profile is 100 base and 40 ridges.  The winds are light and out of the east and the barometer has risen slightly to 1015 mb’s.  The satellite radar has, with the exception of some light snow falling in the Columbia Gorge, dry conditions for most of the state.

The Forecast:  An upper-level ridge will nudge into the mountains today producing a mostly dry day.  The flow shifts NW tomorrow with and embedded cold front in tow.  Snow arrives early tomorrow afternoon with convergence conditions possibly setting up.  Moderate post front winds can be expected tomorrow night but they should be fairly short-lived.

The Long Range:  The snow will diminish Saturday morning with a short dry period and sun breaks Saturday afternoon.  Another system arrives early Sunday morning with more snow. Temperatures will remain on the cold side through the weekend with more seasonally average temperatures expected next week.       

24hr values daily 4am to 4am.
Precipitation:
Today 24hr
water: lt.10  snow: trace

Tomorrow’s 24hr
water:.75   snow: 6-10"

Trend and Timing:
 Dry today with snow arriving afternoon tomorrow. 


Temperature:
Low:10     High: 20
Freezing level: Sea level -500’

Trend and Timing:   
Cold temperatures will remain in place today with some gradual warming starting tomorrow.  

 
Winds
Base: 0-5 E
Ridge Top: 5-10 E

Trend and Timing:
East flow will continue into early tomorrow morning and then shift westerly with the arrival of tomorrow’s front.  A post front wind event should be expected late tomorrow afternoon with gust 20-25mph.


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