February 28, 2018

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST


Time and Day:  0700 Wednesday

The Snapshot:   Today will start out dry with intermittent snow showers expected tonight – similar to yesterday. Snow showers with sun breaks will finish out the week with the weekend trending dry and partly sunny.  

The Science

Current Observations:  It is partly cloudy this morning with the 24hr stake reading 5” of new snow.   21 base / 26 ridges is the temperature profile. The barometer has dropped to 1010mb’s and the winds are light and westerly.  The wind blew fairly consistently through the night. (5-10mph – gusting in the 20’s)   This morning’s radar has dry and partly cloudy conditions over the mountains and the next frontal band of precipitation still a ways offshore.  

The Forecast:  With the main batch of moisture still offshore we should start to see light snow starting to fall around noon today.  The parent low-pressure trough will slide SSW today which will shift the flow at Stevens Pass to ESE.  Light to moderate bands precipitation will spin through the mountains for the next 24-36 hrs.   


The Long Range:   The weekend will be mostly dry with clear periods. 

24hr values daily 4am to 4am.
Precipitation:
Today 24hr
water: .25-.5   snow: 3-5

Tomorrow’s 24hr
water: .25-.5  snow: 4-6

Trend and Timing:
Moderate passing snow showers will be the precipitation game for the next few days.


Temperature:
Low: 24    High: 30
Freezing level: +- 3500’

Trend and Timing:   
The freezing levels will rise to+- 3500’ today and remain near that level through tomorrow.

 
Winds
Base: 0-5 E
Ridge Top: 0-10 SE

Trend and Timing:
Winds will shift easterly at the surface with SSE winds aloft today.


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