December 18, 2018

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST



Stevens Pass Mountain Weather Forecast
Day and Time: Tuesday 1130am

Current Observations:
24hr Precipitation: Snowing.  16” of snow, storm water equivalent (SWE) = 8-10%
Temperature profile: 33base, 31 ridges
Pass level winds: Westerly 5-15mph gusting +20 <5000’.
Barometer: Bumped up to 1004mb’s
Sky: OC w/fog
Radar:  Scattered mixed rain and snow showers below 4500’.  

The Forecast:  Moderate to heavy snow showers today with temperatures falling slightly tonight.   There will be a brief break in the moisture tomorrow with another mixed snow and rain event anticipated to begin tomorrow night.   

Long Range: Mild temperature with diminishing precipitation for Thursday.  Cooler temperatures with light intermittent snow showers will be on the menu for Friday and Saturday.   
  
The Science:  The cold front that passed over Stevens around 730 this morning is now heading through Eastern Washington.  Westerly flow will strengthen today with good convergence showers developing.

Attention shifts to a low pressure system rapidly moving up the coast.  This will bring a spike in freezing levels (+-5000) tomorrow night/ early Thursday morning.   A strong cold front is expected to swing in and save the day Thursday afternoon.  Snow showers with freezing levels +-2000’ will lead us into the weekend.
  

Values from 4am today through
 4am tomorrow.
Precipitation:
Today 24hr
water: 1  snow: 8-12

Tomorrow’s 24hr
water: .5  snow: 3-5

Trend and Timing:
Moderate to heavy convergence showers will persist through the next 24 hrs

Temperature:
Low: 30    High: 34
Freezing level: +-4500’

Trend and Timing:   
Freezing levels will hold +- 4500’ today and then begin to fall to +- 4000’ overnight.


 
Winds
Base: 5-15 W
Ridge Top: 10-20+ W

Trend and Timing:
Westerly winds will strengthen today with ridge top gust +25 possible.


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