February 13, 2019

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST



Stevens Pass Mountain Weather Forecast
Day and Time:  Wednesday 0700

Current Observations:
24hr Precipitation:  .48swe, 11” of snow
Temperature profile: 23 base, 20 ridge
Pass level winds: Light, westerly
Barometer: 999mb’s
Sky: OC
Radar: Light scattered snow along the western slopes

The Forecast:  Light snow flurries today with temperatures in the mid 20’s.  Snow showers returning tomorrow afternoon.  

Long Range:  Snow can be anticipated for Friday and Saturday with Sunday and Monday trending dry.  Temperatures will return to seasonally normal ranges. 
  
The Science:  The atmosphere will remain unstable under low pressure through the weekend.  Weak pulses of moisture will spin up through the region from the south with warm convection bringing freezing levels back into seasonal levels. (+- 3500’).    

Forecast confidence: Good for the next 24hrs,  fair for the weekend.

Values from 4am today through
 4am tomorrow.
Precipitation:
Today 24hr
water: .25  snow: 2-4

Tomorrow’s 24hr
water: .25-.5  snow: 3-5

Trend and Timing:
Snow diminishes today and returns tomorrow afternoon.


Temperature:
Low: 16  High: 26
Freezing level:  2500’-3000’

Trend and Timing:   
Freezing levels will slowly rise t0 3000’ over the next 24hrs.

 
Winds
Base: 0-5 W shifting E
Ridge Top: 5-10 W shifting E

Trend and Timing:
East flow will re-develop today and strengthen overnight.


No comments:

0800 Start Mon Jan 19th, no ABS