February 2, 2019

Mountain Weather Forecast

Stevens Pass Mountain Weather Forecast
Day and Time: Saturday 0600

Current Observations:
24hr Precipitation:   .8" SWE / 3" snow base / 6" snow upper mtn
Pass temperature:  32 base / 29 upper mtn
Pass level winds: Westerly, light to moderate
Barometer:  Steady at 1002
Sky:  Overcast
Radar:  Spotty precip in the western foothills

The Forecast:  Partly cloudy with snow showers ending Saturday. Cooling overnight, partly cloudy with an errant (I prefer the second definition, see below) snowflake or two possible Sunday. 

Long Range:   Sunday night/Monday's low pressure system will settle into a large scale open trough, bringing dry, northerly upper level flow for the middle of the week. Cold temps, some sunshine and very little precipitation can be expected. 
  
The Science:  Last night's cold front has swept thru, leaving most of Washington in a bit of a lull for today. A developing low pressure system is approaching from the north, on an unusual track. Current model runs have it deepening and dropping straight down from BC on Sunday night, with its center tracking west of the I-5 corridor. It will usher in a cold airmass with freezing levels lowering to sea level. There will likely be more snow in the Puget Sound region Sunday/Monday than at Stevens Pass. 

Values from 4am today through
 4am tomorrow.
Precipitation:
Today 24hr
water: <.10  snow: trace

Tomorrow’s 24hr
water: <.10  snow: trace

Trend and Timing:
 Very light snow flurries possible the next 48 hours. 

Temperature:
Low: 25   High: 33
Freezing level: 3500

Trend and Timing:   
 Steady temps during the day, with cooling overnight. Further cooling Sunday. 
Winds
Base: West 5-10, then varible
Ridge Top: W 10-20 

Trend and Timing:
Winds will ease to light/calm during the day today, possibly becoming easterly at Pass level this afternoon. 

er·rant

Dictionary result for errant

/ˈerənt/
adjective
  1. 1.
    FORMALHUMOROUS
    erring or straying from the proper course or standards.

    "he could never forgive his daughter's errant ways"
    synonyms:offendingguiltyculpable, misbehaving, delinquentlawless, lawbreaking, criminal, transgressing, aberrantdevianterring, sinning; More
  2. 2.
    ARCHAICLITERARY
    traveling in search of adventure.

    "that same lady errant"

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