April 13, 2019

Mountain Weather Forecast

Stevens Pass Mountain Weather Forecast
Day and Time: Saturday 0630

Current Observations:
24hr Precipitation:   .12” SWE / 0" snow
Pass temperature: 34 base / 30 ridgetops
Pass level winds: Light from the west
Barometer:  Steady at 1011
Sky: Overcast
Radar: Moderate rain across Puget Sound

The Forecast: Moderate snow all day Saturday, with cooling temps and gusty winds in the afternoon. Light snow continuing Sunday, ending Sunday afternoon at lower snow levels. 

  
The Science: Another triple point system, similar to Wednesday/Thursday's storm, is arriving in NW flow today. Temperatures will bump up a few degrees midday with the warm front and daytime warming but the trailing cold front this afternoon should usher in cool air and a rapid fall in temperature. Post frontal westerly flow will drive orographic snowfall throughout the evening, with a convergence zone possible setting up overnight. 

Long Range:  Another low pressure system moves through the area Monday night and Tuesday. The bulk of the moisture will be directed into Northern Oregon, but the Central Cascades will see light to moderate snow as well. High pressure is slated to set up for Wednesday and Thursday, with more active weather at the end of the week. 

Confidence: Good for the general setup today and tomorrow, exact snow amounts are always tricky with convergence zones. 


Values from 4am today through
 4am tomorrow.
Precipitation:
Today 24hr
water: .75  snow: 8-10"

Tomorrow’s 24hr
water: .25-.5   
snow: 2-4"

Trend and Timing:
Light snow becoming moderate Saturday, possibly heavy in showers. Tapering off Sunday. 

Temperature:
Low: 27    High: 38
Snow/Freezing level: 4500-2500'

Trend and Timing:   
Temps will again be above freezing mid-day, but fall quickly late in the afternoon and overnight 
Winds
Base: W 10-20
Ridge Top: SW-W 15-25 with gusts 

Trend and Timing:
Winds will strengthen during the daylight hours, easing overnight but remaining moderate. 

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