December 22, 2019

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST


Stevens Pass Mountain Weather Forecast
Date: Sunday, December 22, 2019


Current Observations:
24hr Precipitation: .28” SWE / 3” snow        
Temperature profile:  29 base / 26 mid mtn
Pass level winds: calm            
Barometer: 1007 steady                                
Sky: Overcast             
Radar: Scattered bands of rain in SE Washington


What a wild couple of days! The atmospheric river that remained nearly stationary over the PNW has finally shifted to the east. Totals from the past 4 days:

Snow- 36” at Brooks
Precipitation- 6.02” at Schmidt Haus

The Forecast: Mostly cloudy, cooler, and light snow this afternoon. Drying and colder still on Monday.

Long Range: Further cooling, partly cloudy, and no precipitation expected Tuesday and Wednesday.   
  
The Science: A weak trough will cross Washington in westerly flow aloft today. A colder airmass will be brought with it for lowering freezing levels. There isn’t much moisture associated with this feature, it will mostly just spin up remnants from the recent atmospheric river from our south, bringing some light snow showers this afternoon.

Confidence: Good

Values from 4am today through 4am tomorrow.
Precipitation:
Today 24hr
water: .25 snow: 1-3”

Tomorrow’s 24hr
water: .10  snow: Trace

Trend and Timing:
Light snow developing late Sunday, ending Monday morning.

Temperature:
Low: 25   High: 29
Freezing level: 2500’

Trend and Timing:   
 Consistent temps today and tonight.
 
Winds
Base: E 0-5
Ridge Top: E 5-10

Trend and Timing:
East flow should develop mid-morning Sunday and continue until 4am Monday, then switch back to westerly.

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0800 Start Tues Feb 3rd, no ABS