March 24, 2009

SPOT WEATHER FORECAST

3/24/2009 Weather Discussion: Our nice winter storm is right on schedule. Snow will continue through the night. High pressure will push north tomorrow afternoon ending the precipitation. Long-term models show a drying trend for Thursday and Friday. There is not much agreement in the models beyond Friday, so I will wait to get a better fix for the weekend. Forecast from Tuesday 4pm to Wednesday 4am Precipitation 1 in. Water 10-14 in. Snow Temperatures Low 24 High 30 Winds 10-20 W gusty Forecast for Wednesday 4am to 4pm Precipitation .25 in. Water 2-4 in. Snow Temperatures Low 20 High 24 Winds 5-10 NW tapering TRENDS AND TIMING Precipitation: Convergence flow has just kicked in, this will drive good orographics for the next 12-24hrs. Depending on the convergence intensity and duration the snow totals could be higher – could be another great Stevens pow day. Freezing levels: Freezing levels will trend down tonight to near sea level. Freezing levels will then slowly rise to near pass level by Thursday morning. Winds: Winds will also ramp up today bringing gusty periods through the night. Could see gust +40mph through the night. Winds will taper and swing north than east by Thursday morning. Winds: Winds will also ramp up today bringing gusty periods through the night. Could see gust +40mph through the night. Winds will taper and swing north than east by Thursday morning. Watch that wind slab and cornice development.

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