November 4, 2009

SPOT WEATHER FORECAST

Tried to down load a weather model of this impressive storm not sure if it will work. 850mb pressure chart with Freezing levels. 11/4/2009 Weather Discussion: The cloud deck will thicken over the Cascade crest today as a strong, very impressive frontal system takes aim at the PNW. The coast will see hurricane force winds with ocean swell prediction reaching 20+ feet. (get your surf board waxed up Forbes) This front will hit the mountain tomorrow, bringing sporty weather of heavy rain and gusty winds. A cold front will follow late Thursday night dropping freezing levels enough to produce some snow on Friday/Saturday. Long-term models show an active early winter weather pattern continuing well into next week. Should see some nice snow on the ground by the start on next week. 24 hour forecast starting at noon on Wednesday Precipitation Lt .10 in. Water 0 in. Snow Temperatures Low 34 High 40+ Winds 5-10 SW gusty TRENDS AND TIMING Precipitation: Rain will arrive tomorrow morning and increase throughout the day. Water content could exceed 1.5” by noon Friday. Rain turns to a rain/snow mix below 4500’ on Friday and should turn to all snow through the weekend. Snow accumulations of 4-6” are possible on Friday and more through the weekend. Freezing levels: Freezing levels will be around the 7000’ range for the next 24 hours. Surface temperatures will be unseasonable warm tomorrow possible reaching the high 40s. Freezing levels are then expected to drop Friday morning in the wake of the approaching cold front. Expect to see 4000’FL’s on Friday and then descend further on Saturday. Winds: Strong SW flow will produce gusty conditions tomorrow. The cold front will shift winds to westerly on Friday producing strong convergence winds through the Pass. Current models show 40mph+ winds possible on Friday. “sporty” jdm

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