SPOT WEATHER FORECAST

11/16/2009 Weather Short term: It seems that the enough cool air east of the crest was stubborn enough to hold off the rain-nice. A low-pressure system stalled off the coast will continue to pull up moisture from the SW through tomorrow. Still expecting a rain event today, but it now should be shorter lived and do less harm to our snowpack. Long-term: A cold front will move in tomorrow, this should open the door for several more systems to move in. Snow will continue tomorrow, with another SW system setting up for Wednesday/Thursday. This will bring rising freezing levels and more precipitation. 24 hour forecast starting at noon on Monday Precipitation “ Water: 1-1.5” “ of Snow: 4-6 Base area temperatures (F): Low: 28-32 High: 38-40 Winds speed/Direction Pass level: 0-10 SW Ridge top: 5-15 SW TRENDS AND TIMING Precipitation: Moderate to heavy precipitation will continue through the next 24-48 hours. Models still show rain below 5000’ between noon today and 4am tomorrow. let’s hope the models continue to be wrong... If we do get rain it should turn back to snow after 7 am. 36 hour storm totals are showing 2-3”of water. Freezing levels: Freezing levels will inch up today to 6000’. Freezing levels are expected to stay high until the cold front passes through tomorrow morning. Freezing levels will drop to 3000’ in the wake of tomorrow’s cold front. Winds: We currently have wind out of the south, this is pushing the cold air from the east through the pass, another reason we have stayed in snow. Gusty SW flow will continue through tomorrow. jdm