April 11, 2015

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

O700 Saturday:

The Snapshot:  Snow and wind today, dry with sun breaks tomorrow, snow on Monday.

The Science:  The cold front passed over the Cascade crest around midnight last night dropping .31” of water with only an inch of snow so far this morning; no surprise with the warm airmass that had to push out of the way.  Heavy snow showers, cold air and strong westerly flow will fill in behind the front today.   It is now up to the convergence zone whether Stevens Pass will get the goods or not.  Models have the convergence zone most effective just north of Stevens Pass and then sagging south this afternoon/evening.  It will be a nail biter.

The snow ends tomorrow morning as an upper-level ridge between storms moves through.  Another cold front arrives Monday with the chance of additional 2-4” of snow.

Long Range:  High pressure returns with seasonably normal temperatures on Wednesday/Thursday.

Precipitation ending at 4am:

Today’s 24hr Water = .75-1   Snow = 8-14” 

Tomorrow’s 24hr Water =>>.25   Snow = 1-3 

Trend and Timing:
Snow will be rather light this morning with heavy snow showers this afternoon and evening.  Snow tapers off early tomorrow morning.


24hr temperature ending at 4am tomorrow: 
Low: 22   High: 32
Freezing level: +-3000’.

Trends and Timing:
Freezing levels will drop to around 3000’ this morning.  Some daytime warming will bring surface temperature to near freezing today.  Sun breaks tomorrow will produce temps into the mid to upper 30’s.

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4am tomorrow:
Base: 5-10 W
Ridge Top:  5-20 W

Trend and Timing:
Steady westerly winds will continue through the day.   Winds diminish tomorrow and shift southerly.



JM

No comments:

8:00am Start for 4/15/2024 - TEAR DOWN

 Great Last Day!