April 10, 2015

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

0800 Friday:

The Snapshot:  Thickening clouds today with snow tonight and tomorrow, dry Sunday/Monday. 

The Science:  Clouds are thickening over the Pacific NW this morning in response to the incoming winter storm.  The anticipated strong frontal system is maturing and still on track to bring a good dose of snow to Stevens Pass.  The main event will be tomorrow as the Puget Sound Convergence Zone gears up.   Freezing levels could drop as low as 2500’ tomorrow but will rise to +- 4500’ on Sunday.  The moisture gets cut off early Sunday morning as an upper-level ridge forms.  Therefore, expect partial clearing to develop on Sunday and Monday with little to no additional precipitation.   

Long Range:  Another, less potent front arrives late Monday night for a few more inches of snow for Tuesday.   Warming and drying is expected to develop after Tuesday.     

Precipitation ending at 4am:

Today’s 24hr Water = .5   Snow =  3-5

Tomorrow’s 24hr Water = +1.  Snow =  12-15

Trend and Timing:
Mixed rain and snow is expected to develop after 5pm tonight and change to all snow around midnight.   Snow intensifies tomorrow as convergence conditions strengthen. 


24hr temperature ending at 4am tomorrow: 
Low: 46   High: 24
Freezing level: 7000’   3000.' 

Trends and Timing:
Daytime temperatures will climb into the mid to upper 40’s again today.  Freezing levels will drop to 4000’ around midnight tonight and will continue to descend tomorrow to +- 3000’. 

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4am tomorrow:
Base: 5-10 W
Ridge Top: 5-15 W gusty  

Trend and Timing:
Winds don’t appear to be extremely strong with this storm but expect gusty ridge top winds with the convergence tomorrow.



JM

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