April 9, 2015

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

0830 Thursday:

The Snapshot:  Sunny and warm today; snow wind and rain begins tomorrow night and lasts through the first half of next week.

The Science:  A strong frontal system will bring heavy snow to the Cascade Mountains starting tomorrow night.  The air mass will be warm with the arrival of this front so rain can be expected to start, but it will quickly turn to snow once the front moves through.   Strong, cool, unstable westerly flow (convergence and high winds) will develop on Saturday with moderate to heavy snow through the day.  As of now current storm totals are:
  
Snow:  4-6” by 4am Saturday
            4-6  by  4pm Saturday
            4-6  by  4am Sunday morning for a total of 12-18”.

There will be a lull in the action Sunday night with more snow (additional +-4”) on Monday/Tuesday.  Warm advection is associated with this system so a mixture of rain will also be part of the package. 

Long Range:   High-pressure building off the PNW coast will bring and end to the precipitation on Wednesday. 

Precipitation ending at 4am:

Today’s 24hr Water = 0   Snow =   

Tomorrow’s 24hr Water = +- .5  Snow = 4-6

Trend and Timing:
Today and most of tomorrow will be dry.  Rain turning to snow arrives tomorrow night.


24hr temperature ending at 4am tomorrow: 
Low: 38   High: 50+
Freezing level: 8000.' 

Trends and Timing:
Freezing levels will remain high through late tomorrow night and then fall to 2000’ early Saturday morning.    

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4am tomorrow:
Base: 0-5 E
Ridge Top:  0-10 ESE

Trend and Timing:
Light east flow has developed in response to the approaching system.  Winds will shift SW then West tomorrow.   Strong winds can be anticipated on Saturday.



JM

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