El Nino Update
The Climate
Prediction Center monthly El Nino update just arrived. No surprises or significant changes from last
months.
For full report go to:
Summary:
“There is an
approximately 95% chance that El Niño will continue through Northern Hemisphere
winter 2015-16, gradually weakening through spring 2016.”
Sea water temperatures continue to increase along equatorial
range with a +-6c high temperature. All models surveyed predict El Niño to
continue into the Northern Hemisphere through spring 2016, and all multi-model
averages predict a peak in late fall/early winter. The forecaster consensus unanimously favors a
strong El Niño…
All models trend to a decreasing El Nino late winter early spring. This could equate to a better chance of
spring snowfall.
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