October 8, 2015

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day: 13:00 Thursday

The Snapshot:  Dry with some partial clearing this afternoon and evening.  Rain returns tomorrow afternoon with moderate to heavy rain expected for the weekend.    

The Science:  A weak upper-level ridge will drift east this afternoon and evening.  The next frontal system will begin to spread rain inland tomorrow with a strong cold front bringing heavier rain on Saturday.  Freezing levels briefly dip to +-5500’ early Sunday morning that could leave a bit of the white stuff on the upper ridges.    Storm totals from tomorrow noon through midnight Sunday could exceed +2” of rain. 

Long Range:  More rain is expected on Monday.  The middle of next week appears to be relatively dry with another wet system beginning to take shape on Thursday/Friday

4 am to 4 am Precipitation:

Today’s 24hr Water = lt .10    Snow = 0   

Tomorrow’s 24hr Water = .25    Snow = 0

Timing:
Light rain is expected to reach the mountains around noon tomorrow.  The rain intensifies on Saturday.


4 am to 4 am Temperatures: 
Today’s Low: 40   High: 60
Today’s Freezing level: 8-10,000’

Trends and Timing:
Surface temperatures will continue to be on the mild side until the cold front passes sometime late Saturday night or early Sunday morning.

 
4 am to 4 am Winds:
Base: 0-5 WSW
Ridge Top:  0- 10 WSW

Timing:
Winds shift SW tomorrow and strengthen through the weekend.   Gusty front winds can be anticipated.


JM

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