October 30, 2015

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day:  0830 Friday

The Snapshot:  Heavy rain and wind will be the game through late Saturday night, snow possible on Sunday, dry and colder next week.

The Science:  This morning’s radar is lit up with heavy rain and high winds approaching Cascade Mountains. The leading edge of the approaching warm front is expected to pass over the Cascade Crest around noon or so today.  Rain will intensify and temperatures will rise with the passing of the front.    The Puget Sound Convergence Zone will also play a part in the precipitation and wind intensity tonight and tomorrow.    

Sunday snow.  Timing is everything. Models are having a difficult time agreeing on the timing of the cold front expected to swing through on Sunday.  If freezing levels begin to fall early Sunday morning, then Stevens could see over a foot of snow on the ground Monday morning.  The mountains above 5000’ could receive +-2’.  Other models have the cold front passing the over the mountains late Sunday afternoon/evening with rain turning to snow later in the day.  Either way, there should be some snow left on the ground at or below 4000’ on Monday morning.  

Long Range:  The action ends on Monday with dry and cooler weather expected for most of next week. 

Precipitation ending at 4am:

Today’s 24hr Water = +-2”    Snow = 0 

Tomorrow’s 24hr Water = +-2  Snow = 0

Trend and Timing:
Rain increase today and continues through early Sunday morning, snow on Sunday.


24hr temperature ending at 4 am tomorrow: 
Low: 40   High: 50
Freezing level: +7000.'

Trends and Timing:
Freezing levels will rise above 7000’ today.   Temperatures will remain above 320f  through early Sunday morning.  

 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am tomorrow:
Base: 5-15 gust to +-20
Ridge Top: 10-20 gust +-40  

Trend and Timing:
A high wind advisory is in effect for the mountains.  Ridge top wind gust could top 50mph this afternoon.  Winds will diminish tonight and kick back in tomorrow.



JM

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