November 26, 2017

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST

Time and Day:  0800 Sunday

The Snapshot: Rain this morning changing to snow showers tonight.  Light snow can be expected on Monday with heavier snow on Tuesday.

The Science

Current Observations: 2” of snow was squeezed out of .19” of water last night. The temperature is currently 32 degrees, the RH is 96%, the barometer has dropped to 1004mb and the winds are easterly at 5-10mph.   The radar has a band of heavy rain falling in the mountains with a few spots of mixed snow.

The falling barometer is an indicator of the low-pressure trough with an embedded cold front tracking towards the Cascade Mountains.  Freezing levels are expected to drop with the passing of the cold front later today.  The passing of the front will also shift the rain to snow and then diminish the precipitation to intermittent showers through the night.   Cool unstable westerly flow will keep snow showers persistent tomorrow.   

 The Long Range:  A good looking frontal system with cool NW flow will bring moderate to heavy snow on Tuesday.  Wednesday looks relatively quiet with more active weather returning towards the end of the week.     

24hr Precipitation ending at 4am:
Today 24hr water: .5-.75” snow: 2-5”
Tomorrow’s 24hr water: .5 -75”  snow:4-6”

Trend and Timing:
Rain is expected for most of the day with snow entering the mix around 4 pm. A weak convergence period could enhance snowfall for a few hours this evening.


24hr temperature ending at 4 am: 
Low: 28    High: 36
Freezing level: 6500’- 4000’

Trend and Timing:   
Surface temperature will bump up a few degrees this morning and then drop to or below 32 degrees late this afternoon.  Freezing levels are expected to drop to or below 4000’ after 4 pm or so.  


 
24hr Winds (mph) ending at 4 am:
Base: 0-5 E shifting W
Ridge Top: 5-10 ESE shifting W

Trend and Timing:
Winds will shift westerly and strengthen with the passing of the front later this afternoon.



jM

No comments:

8:00am Start for 4/15/2024 - TEAR DOWN

 Great Last Day!