November 24, 2019

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST



Stevens Pass Mountain Weather Forecast
Sunday, November 24, 2019, 0900  

Current Observations:
24hr Precipitation:          .52 water,  3” on upper ridge
Temperature profile:      33 base, 29 ridge
Pass level winds:              moderate westerly
Barometer:                      1017mb’s and slowly rising
Sky:                                  Overcast
Radar:   Convergence showers in the Hwy 2 corridor and the I-90 corridor with dry conditions to the west.

The Forecast:   Moderate snow showers with cooling temperatures can be expected today.  Snow showers taper off tomorrow.

Long Range: A drying trend will develop for the Holiday period with little to no additional snow accumulation expected through the weekend.   
  
The Science:  The cold front that brought us this blustery weather is now heading into the intermountain west.  Cool unstable NW flow will keep orographic showers likely through the night.  A dry, cool air mass will descend from the north as the week progresses with little to no precipitation likely after Wednesday. Day time low temperatures will be in high teens with day time temperatures peaking in the mid to upper 20’s. 

Forecast confidence: Good to fair.

Values from 4am today through 4am tomorrow.
Precipitation:
Today 24hr
water: .25-.5   snow: 3-5

Tomorrow’s 24hr
water: .10  snow: trace

Trend and Timing:
Moderate snow showers will persist today with precipitation tapering off tomorrow.


Temperature:
Low: 26   High: 33
Freezing level: 4500’ – 3000’

Trend and Timing:   
Freezing levels will continue to slowly fall through the day.

 
Winds
Base: 5-10 NW
Ridge Top: 5-10 NW

Trend and Timing:
Winds will diminish today with a NW flow pattern developing.


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