November 26, 2019

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST




Stevens Pass Mountain Weather Forecast
Tuesday, November 26, 2019,  0800


Current Observations:
24hr Precipitation:         .06” SWE, trace of snow       
Temperature profile:       17 base
Pass level winds:               Light, easterly         
Barometer:                      1008mb’s falling slightly     
Sky:                    High clouds with patchy mid-level clouds
Radar:    Spotty snow showers in the I-90 corridor with the main bulk of  moisture making landfall  along the Oregon coast. 


The Forecast:  Cold and mostly dry today with an occasional light snow shower possible.  Windy tomorrow with clear periods and passing snow showers.   No significant snow accumulation expected for the rest of the week.

Long Range: The next chance of snow will be over the weekend with long range models showing some promise again next week.
  
The Science:  Bands of moisture will spin north from the low pressure system tracking into Oregon today.  The east slopes will see a few inches of snow with little of the moisture making it to the crest.  Pressure gradients will tighten along the northern boundary of the low creating strong east/offshore flow. Cold air will also be ushered in from NE interior with low teens or even single digits possible.

The next storm of interest arrives over the weekend. This system tracks up from the SW with rising freezing levels and snow likely.  Details on timing and precipitation amounts are still very much in questions, so stay tuned.  

Confidence: Good in short term, poor for long range.

Values from 4am today through 4am tomorrow.
Precipitation:
Today 24hr
water: .10 snow: 0-2

Tomorrow’s 24hr
water: .25  snow: 1-3

Trend and Timing:
Light passing snow showers will continue through early Thursday morning.


Temperature:
Low:  10  High:  20
Freezing level: 1500’-500’

Trend and Timing: 
Temperatures will remain low with freezing levels dipping below 500’ tonight.

 
Winds
Base:   5-10 E
Ridge Top: 5-15 E gust +30 possible

Trend and Timing:
East flow will strengthen today with strong offshore flow winds developing tonight.


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