December 13, 2019

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST


Stevens Pass Mountain Weather Forecast
Date: Friday, December 13, 2019


Current Observations:
24hr Precipitation:  .91” SWE / 9” snow                   
Temperature profile: 31 base / 28 mid mtn
Pass level winds:  Light, westerly                   
Barometer:  1014 rising                                 
Sky:   Scattered clouds, light snow                  
Radar:  Light precip west of the crest


The Forecast: Cooling with diminishing snow showers and light winds Friday, partly cloudy with further cooling and a light flurry or two Saturday.
  
  
The Science: Well, we didn’t get our foot, but we’ll take the 9”. The fickle nature of convergence zones brought .9” of water content to Stevens Pass, while stations near Gold Bar recorded over 2”! The main branch of the jet stream will sag south today, with high pressure building in the Pacific. This will shift upper level flow to the NW over Washington State. Drier and colder air advection will take place Friday afternoon and Saturday, bringing light snow showers at cooler temperatures.

Long Range: The building ridge shifts inland Sunday and Monday for dry days with cool temperatures. The next chance for decent snow accumulation will be the second half of next week.

Confidence: Fair in the short term, poor in the long term.

Values from 4am today through 4am tomorrow.
Precipitation:
Today 24hr
water: .25 snow: 1-3”

Tomorrow’s 24hr
water: <.10  snow: trace

Trend and Timing:
Light snow showers diminishing throughout the day.

Temperature:
Low: 27   High: 31
Freezing level: 3500’ – 2500’

Trend and Timing:   
Cooling Friday afternoon and overnight.
 
Winds
Base: W 0-5
Ridge Top: W 5-15

Trend and Timing:
Light winds with diminishing gusts thru Saturday.

Dan

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0800 Start Mon Feb 2nd, no ABS