December 15, 2019

MOUNTAIN WEATHER FORECAST


Stevens Pass Mountain Weather Forecast
Date: Sunday, December 15, 2019


Current Observations:
24hr Precipitation:     .26 / 3”
Temperature profile:  27 base / 23 mid mtn
Pass level winds:   West, light             
Barometer:    1013 rising                               
Sky:     Obscured, snowing lightly                  
Radar:  Light, spotty precipitation across the PNW


The Forecast: Cool with light snow ending Sunday afternoon, dry with slightly warming temps and partly cloudy skies Monday.

Long Range: Monday and Tuesday will be benign as high pressure sits over the PNW, but active weather returns on Wednesday. Too early for details but freezing levels hovering around Pass level (hopefully with a little east flow) and moderate to heavy precipitation look likely Thursday-Saturday.  
  
The Science: NW flow aloft continues today as the trough deepens across the center of the US and the high pressure ridge that has formed offshore moves east. Moist air in the lowest levels of the atmosphere has been responsible for the orographic light snow accumulations the past few days, but that dries up this afternoon bringing an end to snow showers. A weak warm front passing to our north on Monday will bring partly cloudy skies.

Confidence: Good for day 1-3, poor for freezing levels late in the week.

Values from 4am today through 4am tomorrow.
Precipitation:
Today 24hr
water: LT .10 snow: Trace

Tomorrow’s 24hr
water: 0  snow: 0

Trend and Timing:
Very light snow flurries ending Sunday afternoon.

Temperature:
Low: 20   High: 28
Freezing level: 1500’

Trend and Timing:   
Cooling trend Sunday night into Monday morning.
 
Winds
Base: W 0-5
Ridge Top: W 5-15

Trend and Timing:
Consistent light westerly winds today and Monday, east winds through the Pass developing Monday.

-Dan

No comments:

0800 Start Mon Feb 2nd, no ABS